We believe that personal experience/anecdotal examples trumps data or logical argument.
Published on 8 months ago
Assigning human traits, attributes, emotions or agency to non-human things.
Published on 8 months ago
If an unlikely event(that's statistically independent) occurred multiple times, it's less likely to occur in the future.
Published on 8 months ago
Belief that someone who has been successful will be more likely to be successful in future attempts.
Published on 8 months ago
Overestimation of ability to interpret and predict outcome when analyzing data that shows a consistent pattern.
Published on 8 months ago
Perceiving a relation between things(people, behaviors, events, etc) when no such relation exists.
Published on 8 months ago
Memory error - people sometimes have wrong/distorted memories that they are confident about.
Published on 8 months ago
People tend to ignore sample size of data. They forget that variation is more likely in smaller sample sizes.
Published on 8 months ago
Tendency to ignore probability when making decisions in uncertain conditions.
Published on 8 months ago
Belief that streaks or clusters in parts of random data are non-random.
Published on 8 months ago