Simplification of Probability and Numbers(14)


Zero sum bias

Belief that your situation is a zero sum situation and competing - even when there are unlimited resources.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Time-saving bias

We underestimate time saved when moving from a relatively smaller speed to higher speed. Also, we overestimate time saved when moving from a relatively faster speed to even faster speed.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Swimmer's body illusion

People confuse selection factors with results.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Survivorship bias

Concentrating on the people/things that got past a selection point.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Normalcy bias

The brain sometimes ignores multiple warnings signals.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Magic number 7+-2

Number of items that can be held in short term memory: 7 +/- 2

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Money illusion

People mistake the face value of money(the amount of money) with the real value(what it can buy).

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Hofstadter's law

It describes the widely experienced difficulty of accurately estimating the time it will take to complete tasks of substantial complexity.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Conservatism

People don't easily change existing belief even when presented with new evidence.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Base rate fallacy

We tend to overvalue the specific information - rather than integrating it with general information like the base rate.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Appeal to probability fallacy

Belief that if it's possible, then it's probable.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Mental accounting

People tend to assign subjective value to money - this is susceptible to biases, thinking flaws.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Subadditivity effect

Belief that probability of the whole is lesser than the sum of probabilities of the parts.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,

Denomination effect

Less likely to spend a large denomination currency than the equal value in smaller notes.

Tagged With: Cognitive Bias, Need for Meaning, Simplification of Probability and Numbers,